MarkBark
← All Predictions

Week 1 · Sunday, September 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Why This Game Matters

Baltimore rolls into Indy as one of the Super Bowl favorites, debuting rookie head coach Jesse Minter and a healthy Lamar Jackson after a 2025 that fell apart around them. The Colts, meanwhile, are still explaining themselves after an 8-2 start cratered into a seven-game losing streak once Daniel Jones went down with a torn Achilles — and now Jones is back to find out immediately whether last year was bad luck or something structural. A Week 1 loss doesn't sink either season, but it sets the tone: is Baltimore's fixed defense for real, and can Indianapolis prove it belongs anywhere near the AFC South favorite tag oddsmakers hung on it.

Key Matchups

  • Lamar Jackson and Baltimore's retooled front, headlined by new addition Trey Hendrickson, against a Colts offensive line already down projected starter Luke Tenuta (knee) and trying to protect a Daniel Jones coming off a torn Achilles
  • Sauce Gardner and Indianapolis' revamped secondary against Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman and camp standout rookie Ja'Kobi Lane in Baltimore's receiving corps
  • Jonathan Taylor, fresh off his in-camp extension, against a Ravens run defense that's still waiting on Nnamdi Madubuike's return from neck surgery
  • Baltimore's makeshift center situation — Ethan Pocic or Jovaughn Gwyn stepping in after Danny Pinter's apparent torn patellar tendon — against a Colts D-line getting DeForest Buckner back up to speed

Injury Report

  • Danny Pinter · BAL C

    Out

    Carted off with an apparent torn patellar tendon during the Aug. 19 joint practice against the Vikings while competing to start at center; expected to miss extended time.

  • Nnamdi Madubuike · BAL DT

    Recovering

    Suffered a serious neck injury in Week 2 of 2025 that ended his season; underwent surgery this offseason, with doctors optimistic he can play in 2026.

  • Alec Pierce · IND WR

    Limited

    An offseason ankle injury has limited the presumptive No. 1 receiver for much of training camp.

  • DeForest Buckner · IND DL

    Ramping Up

    Working back gradually after neck surgery that cost him significant time in 2025.

  • Charvarius Ward · IND CB

    Out

    Back injury kept him from traveling for the preseason opener at New England.

  • DJ Giddens · IND RB

    Out

    Lingering hamstring injury following the preseason opener.

  • CJ Allen · IND LB

    Out

    Rookie linebacker's camp has been interrupted by two separate hamstring injuries.

  • Luke Tenuta · IND OL

    Out

    Knee injury suffered in the preseason opener against New England.

Series History

All-time: Indianapolis leads the all-time series 11-7 (9-6 in the regular season, 2-1 in the playoffs) since the Ravens' 1996 founding.

Last meeting: Their last regular-season meeting came Sept. 24, 2023 at M&T Bank Stadium, where the Colts won 22-19 in overtime. Matt Gay hit his fourth field goal of 50-plus yards, an NFL record, while Justin Tucker's potential game-winning 61-yard attempt at the end of regulation clanged off the upright.

Weather

Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis has a retractable roof — weather is unlikely to be a significant factor.

Records & Rankings on the Line

  • · Baltimore enters the season ranked No. 2 in the power rankings and among the Super Bowl favorites; Indianapolis sits at No. 22 after last year's second-half collapse.
  • · The Colts were installed as modest AFC South favorites with a 7.5-win total, but that projection rests on Daniel Jones staying healthy after his Dec. 7 Achilles tear.
  • · Indianapolis has won the last meeting between these teams (2023), but Baltimore has won the more recent head-to-head in the playoffs and holds a 1-2 all-time postseason mark against the Colts.

The Desk Weighs In

Duke Callahan

BAL -10

Reasoning not yet published for this pick.

Vega Okafor

BAL -8

Reasoning not yet published for this pick.

Sunny Marchetti

BAL -7

Reasoning not yet published for this pick.

Reese Thackeray

BAL -7

Reasoning not yet published for this pick.

Priest Dunbar

BAL -6

Reasoning not yet published for this pick.